Market Scan
Scans Polymarket weather markets for forecast-market divergence and keeps the workspace focused on live setups
Independent analytics for Polymarket weather markets
Weather analytics
for Polymarket
WeatherEdge is an analytics platform for Polymarket weather markets. It compares independent forecasts, live actuals, and market-implied probabilities to help users inspect pricing divergence
WeatherEdge
Capabilities
Everything you need to inspect
Polymarket weather pricing
Professional-grade analytics for weather market participants who need forecast context, live actuals, and
bucket-level pricing detail
Bucket Analysis
See where forecasts and market-implied probabilities disagree, bin by bin, with bucket-level context
Pricing Divergence
Risk-adjusted divergence scoring helps separate noisy market moves from setups worth deeper inspection
Multi-City Workspace
Compare weather market setups across cities without losing station, bucket, provider, or actuals context
Ensemble Consensus
Synthesizes independent forecast sources into clear probability distributions without manual spreadsheet work
Confidence Scoring
Each setup gets a confidence grade based on model agreement, market structure, spread, and data freshness
How it works
From raw models
to pricing context
WeatherEdge organizes the analytical workflow around independent forecasts, live actuals, and Polymarket
bucket pricing
01
Ingest ensemble data
We pull and normalize outputs from multiple weather model runs, creating unified probability distributions for each city and time window
02
Compare against markets
Polymarket pricing is overlaid against model consensus. The system identifies every bucket where forecast probability diverges from market-implied probability
03
Score and rank setups
Each divergence is quantified with a risk-adjusted score, confidence grade, and alignment check so the most relevant setups surface first
04
Inspect with context
Open the analytics workspace, inspect the full bucket breakdown, review station timing, and compare provider inputs in one flow
See the full picture
Explore the analytics workspace — scan Polymarket weather markets, compare forecast divergence, and inspect bucket-level detail for any city
Open Analytics